TY - JOUR
T1 - The impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation trend on the Arctic amplification of surface air temperature during the 1979-2008 boreal winter
AU - Yoo, Changhyun
AU - Feldstein, Steven
AU - Lee, Sukyoung
PY - 2011/12/28
Y1 - 2011/12/28
N2 - One of the most prominent and important features of climate change is that surface air temperature (SAT) change is greatest at high latitudes. The cause for this Arctic amplification of SAT is uncertain. Using ERA-Interim reanalysis data, we show that Arctic amplification during the past 30years (1979 to 2008) is linked to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), the primary mode of intraseasonal variability in the tropics. Specifically, it is shown that interdecadal changes in the frequency of occurrence of individual MJO phases have had considerable influence on the Arctic warming during the boreal winter. During that time period, MJO phases 4-6 exhibited a large increase and phases 1-2 a moderate decrease in their frequency of occurrence. Time lagged composites of the SAT show that MJO phases 4-6, which correspond to enhanced localized tropical heating, are followed 1-2weeks later by Arctic warming. Similarly, MJO phases 1-2, which are associated with more zonally uniform tropical heating, are followed by Arctic cooling. These relationships between the Arctic SAT and the spatial structure of the tropical heating are consistent with the poleward propagation mechanism of Lee et al. (2011a, 2011b). By incorporating both the trend in MJO phase and the intraseasonal SAT anomaly associated with the MJO, it was found that the MJO-induced SAT trend accounts for 10-20% of the observed Arctic amplification over the Arctic Ocean.
AB - One of the most prominent and important features of climate change is that surface air temperature (SAT) change is greatest at high latitudes. The cause for this Arctic amplification of SAT is uncertain. Using ERA-Interim reanalysis data, we show that Arctic amplification during the past 30years (1979 to 2008) is linked to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), the primary mode of intraseasonal variability in the tropics. Specifically, it is shown that interdecadal changes in the frequency of occurrence of individual MJO phases have had considerable influence on the Arctic warming during the boreal winter. During that time period, MJO phases 4-6 exhibited a large increase and phases 1-2 a moderate decrease in their frequency of occurrence. Time lagged composites of the SAT show that MJO phases 4-6, which correspond to enhanced localized tropical heating, are followed 1-2weeks later by Arctic warming. Similarly, MJO phases 1-2, which are associated with more zonally uniform tropical heating, are followed by Arctic cooling. These relationships between the Arctic SAT and the spatial structure of the tropical heating are consistent with the poleward propagation mechanism of Lee et al. (2011a, 2011b). By incorporating both the trend in MJO phase and the intraseasonal SAT anomaly associated with the MJO, it was found that the MJO-induced SAT trend accounts for 10-20% of the observed Arctic amplification over the Arctic Ocean.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84055188715&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1029/2011GL049881
DO - 10.1029/2011GL049881
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84055188715
SN - 0094-8276
VL - 38
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
IS - 24
M1 - L24804
ER -