Simulations of Winter Arctic Clouds and Associated Radiation Fluxes Using Different Cloud Microphysics Schemes in the Polar WRF: Comparisons With CloudSat, CALIPSO, and CERES

Arctic cloud simulations of the polar-optimized version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model (Polar WRF) were compared with retrievals using the CloudSat and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation measurements. For the period from 1 December 2015 to 31 January 2016, a series of 24- to 48-hr simulations initialized daily at 00 UTC were examined. In particular, two cloud microphysics schemes, the Morrison double moment and the WRF single-moment 6-class (WSM6), were tested. The modeled cloud top heights had a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.69–0.72 with those from satellite retrievals, and a mean bias of less than 400 m. For the mean ice water content profile and mixed-phase cloud occurrence, the Morrison scheme's clouds were in better agreement with satellite retrievals than the WSM6. However, the use of the Morrison scheme resulted in underestimates of outgoing longwave radiation by −11.7 W m⁻² compared to satellite observations. The bias was reduced to −0.4 W m⁻² with the WSM6 which produced a stronger precipitation rate (by 10%) resulting in a drier and less-cloudy atmosphere. This also leads to the 7-W m⁻² mean difference in the surface downward longwave radiation (DLR) between the schemes, which is large enough to explain the spread of the Arctic DLR in the current climate models. However, as the temporal variation in DLR showed good agreement with ground observations (r: 0.68–0.92), it is concluded that the Polar WRF can be useful for studying cloud effects on the winter Arctic surface climate.