TY - JOUR
T1 - Pandemic and employment
T2 - Evidence from COVID-19 in South Korea
AU - Lee, Jongkwan
AU - Yang, Hee Seung
N1 - Funding Information:
We are grateful to Jeffrey Clemens, Youjin Hahn, Young-Jun Chun, and seminar participants at the Korea Development Institute, Yonsei University, and the 2020 Conference of the Korean Association of Public Finance for their helpful comments. Soobin Kim provided excellent research assistance. Hee-Seung Yang acknowledges the financial support from Yonsei University , South Korea and Yongwoon Scholarship Foundation , South Korea (Yonsei- Yongwoon Research Grant No. 2021–11-0410 ). All remaining errors are ours.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 Elsevier Inc.
PY - 2022/2
Y1 - 2022/2
N2 - Using two complementary approaches, this study examines the deterioration of the Korean labor market during the first 10 months of the global COVID-19 pandemic. Applying the synthetic control method, we first find that the COVID-19 outbreak has eliminated 1.1 million jobs (4.2% of nonfarm employment) nationwide in April 2020. However, a difference-in-differences approach shows that local variation in COVID-19 intensity, which captures the “regional” effect of the pandemic, explains only 9% of the national shock. The portion of the regional effect remains low until December. This is mainly because the nationwide fear and policies such as social distancing measures also have a “common” effect on local economies. Our findings suggest that the COVID-19 shock may last long in the labor market due to this common effect unless the risk of infection is completely eliminated.
AB - Using two complementary approaches, this study examines the deterioration of the Korean labor market during the first 10 months of the global COVID-19 pandemic. Applying the synthetic control method, we first find that the COVID-19 outbreak has eliminated 1.1 million jobs (4.2% of nonfarm employment) nationwide in April 2020. However, a difference-in-differences approach shows that local variation in COVID-19 intensity, which captures the “regional” effect of the pandemic, explains only 9% of the national shock. The portion of the regional effect remains low until December. This is mainly because the nationwide fear and policies such as social distancing measures also have a “common” effect on local economies. Our findings suggest that the COVID-19 shock may last long in the labor market due to this common effect unless the risk of infection is completely eliminated.
KW - COVID-19
KW - Difference-in-differences
KW - Employment
KW - Pandemic
KW - South Korea
KW - Synthetic control method
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85121989965&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101432
DO - 10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101432
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85121989965
SN - 1049-0078
VL - 78
JO - Journal of Asian Economics
JF - Journal of Asian Economics
M1 - 101432
ER -