TY - JOUR
T1 - Is our mission profitable
T2 - The cost-effectiveness curve with a possibility of a mission abort
AU - Finkelstein, Maxim
AU - Cha, Ji Hwan
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025
PY - 2025/5
Y1 - 2025/5
N2 - We consider missions of fixed and random duration and are interested in their cost-effectiveness at each instant of time. As a measure of quality, the difference between the expected conditional profit (on condition that a system is operable at the current time) and a profit already earned up to this time in case of a mission abort is suggested. This takes into account the corresponding penalties and rewards due to abort or completion of a mission, respectively. However, the main focus is on cost-effective missions and requirements for achieving it. As a result, the cost effectiveness curve is obtained for two cases: with and without observing a univariate degradation process of a system. Specifically, when the degradation is observable, the cost effectiveness curve (at each instant of a mission time) indicates the value of degradation on exceeding which, a mission becomes non-profitable with respect to the suggested criterion. The detailed numerical examples illustrate our findings.
AB - We consider missions of fixed and random duration and are interested in their cost-effectiveness at each instant of time. As a measure of quality, the difference between the expected conditional profit (on condition that a system is operable at the current time) and a profit already earned up to this time in case of a mission abort is suggested. This takes into account the corresponding penalties and rewards due to abort or completion of a mission, respectively. However, the main focus is on cost-effective missions and requirements for achieving it. As a result, the cost effectiveness curve is obtained for two cases: with and without observing a univariate degradation process of a system. Specifically, when the degradation is observable, the cost effectiveness curve (at each instant of a mission time) indicates the value of degradation on exceeding which, a mission becomes non-profitable with respect to the suggested criterion. The detailed numerical examples illustrate our findings.
KW - Degradation
KW - Expected profit
KW - Mission abort
KW - Stationary stochastic process
KW - Survival probability
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85216258691&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.ress.2025.110853
DO - 10.1016/j.ress.2025.110853
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85216258691
SN - 0951-8320
VL - 257
JO - Reliability Engineering and System Safety
JF - Reliability Engineering and System Safety
M1 - 110853
ER -