Effects of the coronavirus disease outbreak on the development of neurological disorders in children: A comparison of the incidence of febrile seizure and epilepsy using an interrupted time-series approach

Background: With the outbreak of COVID-19, school closures and quarantines following social distancing have brought significant changes to children's lifestyles. Therefore, we aimed to compare the population-adjusted incidence of febrile seizures(FS) and epilepsy before and after the COVID-19 outbreak in Korea and to assess the effects of the COVID-19 outbreak on the incidence by region and age group. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using nationwide claims data and covid data from January 2019 to December 2020. The incidence of diseases and difference in incidence before (Jan 20 to Dec 30, 2019) and after (Jan 20 to Dec 30, 2020) the COVID-19 outbreak was measured using rate ratio. An Interrupted time series analysis was used to identify the effect of COVID-19 on trends of FS and epilepsy. Subgroup analysis by age, sex, insurance, and risk of coronavirus by area were conducted. Results: Following the onset of the pandemic, the number of newly diagnosed FS cases decreased sharply by 69 % (24,182 to 7238), whereas the incidence of epilepsy, increased to 1.02 times (30,286−29,312), when adjusted in proportion to the population. Notably, a greater decrease in the incidence of FS were found in the regions with high-risk of coronavirus. A result of segmented regression analysis proved the decrease was significant and made immediately after the pandemic started(p < 0.001). In contrast to the incidence of FS, that of epilepsy did not exhibit a significant month-to-month change during the baseline period, immediately after the pandemic started, and during the pandemic. Conclusions: The COVID-19 outbreak and resulting social distancing measures reduced the incidence of febrile seizure immediately rather than gradually. Unlike in the case of acute febrile seizure, the COVID-19 pandemic had no effect on the incidence of chronic epilepsy.