@article{7cc4755603b1432d8ecc6d8c32aba77e,
title = "Do we need the constant term in the heterogenous autoregressive model for forecasting realized volatilities?",
abstract = "No-constant strategy is considered for the heterogenous autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi, which is motivated by smaller biases of its estimated HAR coefficients than those of the constant HAR model. The no-constant model produces better forecasts than the constant model for four real datasets of the realized volatilities (RVs) of some major assets. Robustness of forecast improvement is verified for other functions of realized variance and log RV and for the extended datasets of all 20 RVs of Oxford-Man realized library. A Monte Carlo simulation also reveals improved forecasts for some historic HAR model estimated by Corsi.",
keywords = "Bias, HAR model, Long-memory, Realized volatility, Volatility forecasting",
author = "Hyejin Song and Shin, {Dong Wan} and Yoo, {Jae Keun}",
note = "Funding Information: For Hyejin Song, this work was supported by the BK21 Plus Project through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education (22A20130011003). For Dong Wan Shin, this research was supported by grants from the National Research Foundation of Korea (2016R1A2B4008780). For Jae Keun Yoo, this work was supported by Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Korean Ministry of Education (NRF-2014R1A2A1A11049389/2009-0093827). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2018 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.",
year = "2018",
month = jan,
day = "2",
doi = "10.1080/03610918.2016.1249882",
language = "English",
volume = "47",
pages = "63--73",
journal = "Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation",
issn = "0361-0918",
publisher = "Taylor and Francis Ltd.",
number = "1",
}