Confidence intervals for the largest root of autoregressive models based on instrumental variable estimators

Dong Wan Shin, Beong Soo So

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

For estimating the largest root of autoregressive (AR) models, we propose an instrumental variable scheme which discounts a large value of regressors corresponding to the largest roots. The pivotal value of the estimator of the largest root is asymptotically normal for any value of the largest root. This fact allows us to construct a simple confidence interval based on ±standard error, say, with good coverage probability and shorter average length than those of [J. Monetary Economics, 28, 1991, 435-459] and [Econometrica, 61, 1993, 139-165].

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)181-189
Number of pages9
JournalEconomics Letters
Volume71
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - May 2001

Keywords

  • C22
  • Confidence interval
  • Instrumental variable estimation
  • M-estimation
  • Recursive mean adjustment
  • Unit root

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