Asymptotic property of least squares estimators for explosive autoregressive models with a drift

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Abstract

We study asymptotic inferences of the OLS estimator in the first order autoregressive model with an explosive root and a nonzero drift. Recent literatures focus on driftless model in dealing with explosive parameter in rela-tion with financial bubbles detection. We consider an extension by allowing a non-zero drift, where the process behaves as a linear time trend during the non-bubble period, and it exhibits an exponential trend during the explosive era. Consistency of the least squares estimator and of the right-tailed coefficient-based Dickey-Fuller unit root test are shown in case of the presence of drift term.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1-12
Number of pages12
JournalJournal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
Volume32
Issue number4
StatePublished - Dec 2021

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021, Korean Econometric Society. All rights reserved.

Keywords

  • Consistency
  • Drift
  • Explosive Root
  • Unit Root Test

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