Abstract
We study asymptotic inferences of the OLS estimator in the first order autoregressive model with an explosive root and a nonzero drift. Recent literatures focus on driftless model in dealing with explosive parameter in rela-tion with financial bubbles detection. We consider an extension by allowing a non-zero drift, where the process behaves as a linear time trend during the non-bubble period, and it exhibits an exponential trend during the explosive era. Consistency of the least squares estimator and of the right-tailed coefficient-based Dickey-Fuller unit root test are shown in case of the presence of drift term.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1-12 |
Number of pages | 12 |
Journal | Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics |
Volume | 32 |
Issue number | 4 |
State | Published - Dec 2021 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2021, Korean Econometric Society. All rights reserved.
Keywords
- Consistency
- Drift
- Explosive Root
- Unit Root Test