Association of body composition indices with cardiovascular outcomes: a nationwide cohort study

Background: Previous studies regarding BMI (kg/m²) and associated cardiovascular outcomes yield inconsistent results. Objectives: We aimed to investigate the association between body composition and cardiovascular outcomes according to BMI categories in the Korean general population. Methods: A total of 2,604,401 participants were enrolled in this nationwide cohort study using the National Health Insurance Service-Health Checkup data set. Predicted lean BMI (pLBMI), body fat mass index (pBFMI), and appendicular skeletal muscle mass index (pASMMI) were calculated using validated anthropometric prediction equations. A multivariable time-dependent Cox regression analysis was conducted to assess the association with cardiovascular outcomes. The results were presented with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), considering BMI categories (BMI < 18.5, BMI 18.5–24.9, BMI 25–29.9, and BMI ≥ 30). Results: Higher pLBMI and pASMMI were correlated with a reduced risk of composite cardiovascular outcomes. For pLBMI, HR was 0.910 (95% CI: 0.908, 0.913, P < 0.001) for males and 0.905 (95% CI: 0.899, 0.910, P < 0.001) for females. For pASMMI, HR was 0.825 (95% CI: 0.820, 0.829, P < 0.001) for males and 0.788 (95% CI: 0.777, 0.800, P < 0.001) for females. Conversely, a higher pBFMI was associated with an increased risk, with HR of 1.082 (95% CI: 1.071, 1.093, P < 0.001) for males and 1.181 (95% CI: 1.170, 1.192, P < 0.001) for females. Subgroup analysis based on BMI categories revealed no significant risk association for pBFMI in the BMI < 18.5 group. In the group with BMI ≥ 30, neither pLBMI nor pASMMI demonstrated a significant risk association. Conclusions: Our results highlight the value of pLBMI, pBFMI, and pASMMI as variables for assessing risk of composite cardiovascular outcomes. The significance of indicators may vary depending on BMI categories.